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Fundamental
Shift in Gold Market Levels Playing Field
(Washington,
D.C. - September 30, 1999) - "A fundamental change took place
in the gold market this week because of actions taken by the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and a group of central bankers.
These actions should be applauded and any pressure to reverse
them should be resisted. The sharp increase in the gold price
is welcome news to the gold industry and is expected to range
higher this year," said John Lutley, President of The Gold
Institute, a Washington, D.C.-based industry association.
For the
better part of 1999, the gold industry has focused efforts
on combating the dual threat of open-ended central bank and
International Monetary Fund (IMF) sales on the open market.
"The gold industry has been held hostage by the threat of
these sales which, quite frankly, frightened many investors
about the very realistic possibility of an over-supply of
gold on the market," added Lutley. This perception encouraged
speculators to "short" the market using inexpensive leased
gold, driving the price even lower.
The September
26th statement from the European Central Bank, as well as
the central banks of 15 other countries, clarified their intentions
to limit their sales to 400 tons per year for the next five
years. They also announced they would limit the amount of
gold lending in the future which would reduce considerably
the speculative activity. These actions sharply boosted gold
prices this week, calming investor and gold industry analyst
fears while restoring faith in the precious metal. In addition,
the IMF announced its intention to revalue up to 14 million
ounces of gold at current market prices, scrapping its initial
plan to sell 10 million ounces on the open market to fund
debt relief efforts for impoverished nations. The IMF gold
sale proposal was opposed by an overwhelming number of key
U.S. Congressional leaders on a bipartisan basis, who ultimately
had veto authority over the proposal.
"We applaud
central bank and IMF statements in regard to the five-year
moratorium and the revaluation of gold targeted for debt relief,"
Lutley emphasized. "The gold industry feels somewhat reassured
that these institutions have realized that their previous
activities in potential uncontrolled gold sales and leasings
have had unintended consequences.
"However,
we are concerned with some recent news accounts and discussions
with market participants that some speculators may be trying
to exert pressure on central banks to reverse their recent
decision, principally as a result of being caught short in
the market," said Lutley.
"Not only
did speculation drive down the value of one of the central
banker's most important assets, but it also had severe adverse
effects on employment and the economies of many poor gold
producing countries, and also in important gold producing
developing nations such as South Africa, Peru and Indonesia.
To see that happen all over again, would be an economic and
humanitarian travesty," Lutley added.
"Right
now, presuming the decision by the central banks holds, it
is now likely that, for at least the next five years, the
gold market will trade on basic fundamentals. This will allow
mining companies to concentrate on improving their operations
free of the speculative pressures that have weighed on them
in the past two years," Lutley concluded.
The Gold
Institute is a nonprofit international industry association
representing leading gold producers and refiners, bullion
suppliers and manufacturers.
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